Mmmkay. My high school class was around 100 people, say 50 were assigned male at birth. It would take 20% of them being trans to put together a bare minimum size softball team of trans women, and that every single one of those 9-10 trans women would want to play softball. It would take 25% for a full roster volleyball team. 10% for a bowling team. It would require the level of these students’ interest in sports to be a statistical anomaly.
In the most generous of estimates, has anyone anywhere thought that a full quarter of people are trans? And that they would have a higher-than-average interest in sports? It’s ludicrous. But tell you what, if we ever hit 25% of the population being trans and every one of them is an athlete, I’ll eat my words.