maybe anticheat compatibility on linux? since the steam deck is a thing now, companies like epic or EA might wanna cash in. i love that most of my games run with gold, platinum, or even native qualities (theoretically, i still use windows), but most of the online games with anticheat still need to be adapted by the Devs to run on linux.
also this is definetely the year of the EU deciding uncontrolled data collection by random companies isn’t a good thing.
Or the complete opposite, we will realize that AI is hard and LLM s will probably not take over the world. Self aware AI is probably much further away than we think. But who knows! 🫥
The problem is actually testing for self awareness. We’re not even sure what makes humans self-aware or whether certain animals are. How will we actually know that AI has reached self-awareness?
So glad you didn’t say “takes over the world”. Pretty sure taking over and power is a human hard-wiring, which would not translate to circuits and models (unless simulated intentionally). Taking over is part of our evolution, and AI didn’t evolve in that way.
New content for streaming is going to fall off a cliff. Except maybe for Apple, no streamer seems willing to put money into new flashy shows the way they used to.
If a new breakout TV show hits this year, it is likely going to be more in the model of IASIP or Shoresy.
This has already happened in 2 labs. Final product and the “free energy revolution” are still years/decades away, but this is still an amazing achievement.
That was net positive energy just from the lasers going in to heat coming out. There’s still huge inefficiency with converting the heat to electricity and the electricity to lasers. Those challenges might be big enough that net positive from one of the donut shaped reactors will come first.
Cross modality is what is missing. We have models that can produce text, hear things, and see things really really well. Facilitating communication between these individual models, and probably creating some executive model to utilize them, is what’s missing. We’re probably still a few years from beginning to touch general intelligence
It probably won’t happen until we move to new hardware architectures.
I do think LLMs are a great springboard for AGI, but I don’t think the current hardware allows for models to cross the hump to AGI.
There’s not enough recursive self-interaction in the network to encode nonlinear representations. So we saw this past year a number of impressive papers exhibiting linear representations of world models extrapolated from training data, but there hasn’t yet been any nonlinear representations discovered and I don’t think there will be.
But when we switch to either optoelectronics or colocating processing with memory at a node basis, that next generation of algorithms taking advantage of the hardware may allow for the final missing piece of modern LLMs in extrapolating data from the training set, pulling nonlinear representations of world models from the data (things like saying “I don’t know” will be more prominent in that next generation of models).
From there, we’ll quickly get to AGI, but until then I’m skeptical that classical/traditional hardware will get us there.
He also made the Oculus lineup so cheap by subsidizing the costs with selling your data, that many VR startups couldn’t compete. Now there’s only a handful of groups still making any VR gear. Immediately after that he killed all PC based VR, though you can still do it with an add-on cable or wirelessly (which sucks on most WiFi), as an afterthought.
This just locked everyone into the Oculus ecosystem and Facebook by extension, bricking more than a few headsets in the process. Now you either have to pay thousands to boutique VR outfits, or buy an Oculus and sell your soul to Zuckerberg for a cut rate product.
I hold Mark solely responsible for killing VR as a consumer product.
I wouldn’t be surprised if VR booms soon in a hyper-competitive environment like phones pre-2016. We already had a boom, but there was a tiny market for decent VR. Now that Meta, Apple, and Samsung are making decent headsets at different price points, it’s only a matter of time before Huawei, Xiaomi, and Oppo start doing crazy stuff that sells well. Hopefully, Valve and HTC become even bigger players as well.
Outside of unpredictable things like hacks which are bound to happen, always the potential of something with widespread impact, 2024 will be a year of increasing “AI” venture capital investment and some widely used online services are going to pivot or completely rebrand.
I’m really hoping my email service gains more traction. People are so accustomed to crappy email providers that the current providers don’t really innovate anymore. I think it will actually have a chance of catching on, because it’s such a different way of doing email.
Right now I’m self funding it. I’m building out the enterprise features, like custom domains and domain user management, so I can start marketing to businesses. I’d like to be able to fund it to profitability without any outside investors.
It’s actually surprisingly affordable to run an email service. Right now my biggest expense is the MySQL server. With one server node plus one backup node I should be able to handle several hundred active users.
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