From a purely utilitarianism perspective, assuming all utility is linear and unscaled:
5/6 chance I’m on the side track * 1 person saved = 5/6
1/6 chance on the main track * 1/10 chance my switch is real * 10 people saved = 1/6
Seems pretty clear that you should not flip the switch. However, if I am on the main track, this thinking will lead to no-one flipping the switch and no lives saved whereas everyone thinking it will lead to a guaranteed save -> utility of 10/6.
If I can assume more than half the people can be rational and will think like me then I should flip the switch.
Lemmy will replace lemmy. It’s federated and open source by design, so if any corpo manages to take over existing instances, people can just create and move to new ones. Lemmy is the endgame. Lemmy is the final software, the last forum.
/sok, maybe if a better software comes along it might replace it. But it’s still safe in theory from corporate takeovers