Not sure if it was a fever dream but probably more opiod medication related…
Its some combination of the following
some cartoon wedding segment
South Park?
there’s like a wedding song that gets cut off but it sort of sounds like this but its like an organ and I’m saying that because its possible I was playing that game a little while South Park was playing in background
its only like a 3-4 second motif and I feel like it plays a few times throughout
structurally its conjunct and it starts on the tonic,
A hardliner will take power (Putin is not the most antiwest russian politician) and then…from the total erasing of Ukraine to third world war, anything would be posible, but neither civil war nor colapse of Rusia. That is the OTAN countries wet dream.
This is very likely. If anything, the existing system will be perpetuated because there’s no replacement atm. It’s been too long in the making and it will take a lot of work to undo. Also, he may be long dead and it won’t change anything in the near future.
This said there’s always a chance for a change, but not right now.
Definitely but that’s unrelated to Putin and his direct actions. The OP’s question also doesn’t mention anything about West right Putin wrong, they are just asking what’s going to happen if Putin is no more.
Those kind of questions can not be made without context, it is not a game of words without consequences. If it is a game, just to waste time posting in this or any social network, let’s stop here.
It is about a real person, who is a leader, whose murder would spark grave consequences. And that leader actions, like taking the decision of going to war or not, are related to decisions made by other leaders. Right now there is a campaign demonizing that leader, and that campaign normalizes ideas mirrored by that kind of questions. There lots of memes, jokes and things like that asking for Putin’s dead.
If i asked, what would happen if Donald Trump were assassinated? Or Biden, or Xi Jing Pin, Erdogan, etc? At this moment when all media are strugling to influence public opinion? It won’t be a futile harmless game.
The question is purely speculative. Try swapping Putin for any western leader and then answer the actual question if it helps.
I can speculate easily what will happen if Biden is assassinated because the probability of anything is not zero. The VP will take his place and so on.
Yes, assassinated, because things happen and no, I do not intend to assassinate anyone just because I use this word. And because things happen, there are contingency plans written for such scenarios, in every country. Do you think that national security services shy away from this because God forbid they talk about it?
I could speculate further that there’s always a possibility of unplanned action or power imbalance, or infighting etc etc that may further complicate things, but the bottom line is things of all kinds happen and they will continue to happen regardless of whether I talk about them or not.
1- i did not write you intent yo kill anyone, just you are adding your contribution to a toxic environment of manipulation, if you intended or not i do not know.
2- i did not object on religious or moral grounds.
3- you did not ask for a legal answer, that would be too easy. Your question is open ended in order to obtain arguments based on different personal grounds, mine are based on: a) critical thinking. b) been fed up (sorry, do not remember a softer expression) reading such ideas. c) been on the reciving end of that media manipulation, because Putin is not the only political leader who faces this. There are too many in the world, and with them their peoples share the burden of the consequences.
4- last, i am not going to argue about this forever, do not want to win any argument. If you want to feel you are right and me wrong go ahead and be happy.
It’s not even that niche imo, but just more music production content in general. There was an instance focused on this a few months ago, but it seems to have gone and not returned.
On Reddit, you have communities of music makers around theory, various genres, various software, synths, and deals. It’s definitely a source of inspiration I miss.
P(passing) = 1- P(failure)
P(failure) = P(failure first try)*P(failure second try)
P(failure first try)=(3/4)^2
P(failure second try)=(gonna post in reply)
P(failure second try)=(2/3)^2 since you can eliminate one choice but 2 others are still wrong.
To total:
P(failure)=(3/4)^2*(2/3)^2=1/4
1-1/4=0.75
So the probability of passing is 0.75
Edit:
Remark: this problem is elegant if you attempt to calculate the passing as the complement of failure rather than enumerate all successes. Shouldn't take more than 3 minutes with a clear head if you know the correct approach. If this was an college level intro probability exam question, it should be done the fast way since it's meant to eat up your time otherwise.
IIRC from my one stats class almost a decade ago, the math is pretty simple. If it’s truly a random guess then you have a 25% chance to get each question right, all you have to do is multiply them. (0.25)(0.25)=0.0625, you have a 6.25% of getting a 100. The other option to get a 50 is (0.25)(0.75)=0.1875, 18.75%. So there is a 75% chance of failing both.
If you get a second chance and can remember your two wrong answers, each problem now has only three options. To get each right, (0.33)(0.33)=0.1089, 10.89% chance. To get one right, (0.33)(0.67)=0.2211, 22.11% chance. 67% chance of failing both a second time.
Something is amiss with my logic/math here but I’m too tired and am going to sleep now. With this logic, failing both the first time would be (0.75)(0.75)=0.5625 56.25%, the %s don’t add up to 100% so someone please correct me lol
Edit 2: thanks for the corrections everyone, I forgot that the order does matter in this equation
Your calculations to get 100% are right but you are off for the 50% and. You are only considering one specific outcome. But it doesn't matter if the first question is wrong or the second so the chance is 0.250.75+0.750.25 which is 37.5 or double your answer. We can double check it by looking at it from the other direction.
The chance of failure is 0.75*0.75= 56.25%.
So there is a 43.75% of passing the first go around. Split between a 6.25% to get 100 and 37.5% to get 50.
Same mistake for the second calculations. 44.22% is the chance to get 50%
There are a couple of errors, that I could spot, but I just woke up so my math might also be wrong hahaha.
(0.25)(0.25)=0.0625, you have a 6.25% of getting a 100.
Correct
The other option to get a 50 is (0.25)(0.75)=0.1875, 18.75%.
Almost, that’s only true if the first one is the one you get right, but you can also get the second one right (3/4 * 1/4), meaning that it’s double your answer, or 37.5% chance of getting at least one right.
So there is a 75% chance of failing both.~
56.25% as per above
~If you get a second chance and can remember your two wrong answers, each problem now has only three options. To get each right, (0.33)(0.33)=0.1089, 10.89% chance.
That assumes you got both wrong the first time around.
To get one right, (0.33)(0.67)=0.2211, 22.11% chance. 67% chance of failing both a second time.~
Same as above, also same as getting the second one right.
Let’s assume you get every answer wrong every time. For the first try you have a 75% chance of getting each question wrong. So this is 0.75x0.75 for both questions being wrong. This is a 56.25% chance of being incorrect on the first test.
The second test you now have 3 possible answers for each question since you can now eliminate the incorrect answers from the previous test. You now have a 66.6% chance of getting each question wrong. This is now 0.66x0.66 to get both wrong, so a 43.56% chance of failing a second time.
Now let’s find the chance that you fail both the first and second attempt. This is 0.5625x0.4356 which gives 24.5% chance of failing both. We can do 1-0.245 to find the chance of passing, which gives a 75.5% chance of passing on one of the two attempts.
Been a long time since I’ve done something like this, so please correct if wrong. You should be able to do the opposite and calculate all the different ways of passing a and total to 100%, but that is longer than this and I cannot be bothered to check.
I’ll sacrifice enough of my time to help build the guillotines we’ll need to deal with the root cause of these problems.
In case it’s not apparent already none of these problems are things that can be solved by personal sacrifices of average individual citizens. We need sweeping government and economic reforms if we’re going to do anything except kick the can down the road for another generation or three while the wealthy continue to loot the planet for their own benefit. If anyone needs to make sacrifices right now it’s the 0.01% sitting on top of enough money and influence to solve all of these problems.
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