JoBo

@JoBo@feddit.uk

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JoBo,

That is not missing, it’s the entire fucking point of the cartoon.

JoBo,

No there isn’t.

JoBo,

The can is used to preserve it and prevent the processes that would otherwise make it better.

Canned soup - which is a bunch of ingredients sealed in a tin then heated to cook and pasteurise it - is never going to taste as good as fresh ingredients that only need to stay edible for a few days, not a few years.

JoBo,

Dunno why you’re getting downvoted. This is a fun question.

I don’t know how to answer it but I guess I would have to bet with my heart and say we skip straight to the last chapter: Trump is toppled and replaced by some only slightly lesser evil who is at least forced to make some (temporary) pro-social concessions to the wider populace.

JoBo,

The fuck is wrong with you?

JoBo,

If you do use one what other blocking do you use to circumvent data collection, YouTube and reddit front ends and things alike?

Firefox on maximum security will get rid of all cookies when you close the window (ie exit from Firefox, not just close the tab). If there are sites that require cookies, you can use Firefox containers to stop it collecting data across other sites).

I do use adblockers but there are sites which deserve the revenue (and don’t bombard you with shite) so I try to remember to whitelist them. But I’m not as diligent about this as I should be. Someone does have to pay for it and we don’t have a decent system to do that without advertising (yet). I can’t subscribe to the eleventy million sites I visit so advertising is a necessary evil (atm). Obviously, denying bad sites the advertising revenue is a public service, so there’s that.

What are your best air fryer/oven recipes?

My parents got me one of them fancy countertop air fryer/oven things and idk what to cook first when I get it set up. According to the box, it does everything a normal oven does as well as air fries. It can hold two whole chickens or 1 frozen pizza. It came with a rack for things like toast and a baking sheet. I also have a...

JoBo,

Not really a recipe but they’re excellent for cheap bacon that’s been packed full of water and ends up boiling if you try to fry it.

JoBo,

There’s a huge difference between what they’re paid by the state and what their backers pump in to put and keep the ‘right’ (wrong) people in power.

JoBo,

Common in the UK too. I think it’s because we often add “… and a happy New Year”. Two happies doesn’t scan and merry New Year doesn’t work as well.

JoBo, (edited )

I’m going to have to object. We don’t use “false positive” and “false negative” as synonyms for Type I and Type II error because they’re not the same thing. The difference is at the heart of the misuse of p-values by so many researchers, and the root of the so-called replication crisis.

Type I error is the risk of falsely concluding that the quantities being compared are meaningfully different when they are not, in fact, meaningfully different. Type II error is the risk of falsely concluding that they are essentially equivalent when they are not, in fact, essentially equivalent. Both are conditional probabilities; you can only get a Type I error when the things are, in truth, essentially equivalent and you can only get a Type II error when they are, in truth, meaningfully different. We define Type I and Type II errors as part of the design of a trial. We cannot calculate the risk of a false positive or a false negative without knowing the probability that the two things are meaningfully different.

This may be a little easier to follow with an example:

Let’s say we have designed an RCT to compare two treatments with Type I error of 0.05 (95% confidence) and Type II error of 0.1 (90% power). Let’s also say that this is the first large phase 3 trial of a promising drug and we know from experience with thousands of similar trials in this context that the new drug will turn out to be meaningfully different from control around 10% of the time.

So, in 1000 trials of this sort, 100 trials will be comparing drugs which are meaningfully different and we will get a false negative for 10 of them (because we only have 90% power). 900 trials will be comparing drugs which are essentially equivalent and we will get a false positive for 45 of them (because we only have 95% confidence).

The false positive rate is 45/135 (33.3%), nowhere near the 5% Type I error we designed the trial with.

Statisticians are awful at naming things. But there is a reason we don’t give these error rates the nice, intuitive names you’d expect. Unfortunately we’re also awful at explaining things properly, so the misunderstanding has persisted anyway.

This is a useful page which runs through much the same ideas as the paper linked above but in simpler terms: The p value and the base rate fallacy

And this paper tries to rescue p-values from oblivion by calling for 0.005 to replace the usual 0.05 threshold for alpha: Redefine statistical significance.

JoBo,

I stopped wearing a regular watch when I started carrying a phone around.

I started wearing a smart watch when I found one that I could take and make calls from, so that I didn’t have to carry my phone around.

JoBo,

In my non-USian understanding, it means you can vote in the primaries (the party-specific elections that choose candidates for the actual election).

JoBo,

I have a statistics joke but it’s not significant.

JoBo, (edited )

The 10x number of new words added compared to previous editions, and the nonsensical nature of so many of the new entries, says it has to be AI. There’s no way some of those would make it past a human editor (except one lazily accepting everything the AI suggests as truth).

JoBo,

You can’t have an arbitrary list of words that count, precisely because most people won’t memorise the dictionary. They’ll just play words they know exist. And if a dispute arises they’ll likely consult a proper dictionary because who has the Scrabble dictionary to hand?

Its primary purpose is to list all the permissible two letter words because that’s where the desperation and disputes arise.

JoBo,

Right, for me. Until Windows 11 decided to take the option away.

JoBo,

Too buggy, AFAIK.

JoBo,

There is a little bit of wiggle-room because “double-blind” isn’t fully defined.

It usually means neither the clinician nor the patient know what is being given. But sometimes that is impossible (eg if the comparison is of two types of surgery) so the assessor may be blinded instead. It is also possible to blind the statistician and authors (so they analyse/write up without knowing which treatment is which).

We’ve never got around to making the labels more exact, we just state who is and is not blinded. “Double-blind” and “triple-blind” are often used when two or three parties are blinded but neither term defines exactly who is blinded.

JoBo,

They do sell double-yolkers as a thing. You can shine a light through the shell to identify them, apparently. Higher value product so producers who get enough of them will go to the extra trouble of sorting them.

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