No. My source is basic arithmetic. The math just simply doesn’t check out. Banking isn’t rocket science.
A 200K home mortgage is roughly 2000/mo mortgage. It’s not doable for median household income if about 75k, or about $4200/month after taxes, while grocery prices inflate over 10% year in end, and the median house price is like 380k right now. The math doesn’t check out.
It is, though. People are buying homes who cannot afford them all over the US right now. It’s not as though home buying has ceased with the interest rates.
Oh, I “can”. I just know that $4000/mo is not what we can “afford”. We’d sooner squeeze into her apartment for $1000/mo and not be responsible for anything.
I mentioned in this thread somewhere that I believe we’re in for another 2008 collapse. If I cannot afford a mortgage who the fuck is signing those papers? Same uneducated buyers and predatory lenders as in 2003-2008. I predict a collapse starting this time next year based on I’m high and I just woke up.
The extremely (almost irresponsibly) abridged version of the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis is that banks were giving out loans to people who could not afford to pay them.
This is the comparison I’m drawing, because it’s what is happening again.
A 200K home mortgage isnroughly 2000/mo. It’s not doable for median income, and the .median house price is like 380k right now. The math doesn’t check out.
I think the interest rate has a lot to do with the declining value of commercial real estate. I think the banks are trying to cover losses. Small businesses going fully remote makes it difficult to sling commercial real estate at the old rates.
I think this is also behind the odd fetish of returning to the office we read so much about.
In 2008 the economy tanked because the banks had made a habit of cough approving mortgages that they knew people couldn’t afford in the long run. Then they auctioned off those subprime mortgages to smaller banks, and played hot potato until oopsie, economic depression.
If we’re in this boat, who the fuck is buying a home, who approved their loan, and how the fuck is 2008 not right around the corner again?